Rock, Brock, and the Savings Shock

Via Long or Short Capital comes a children’s story authored by FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair. The blog gives two versions of the story, first from the Amazon description of the book: Rock and Brock may be twins, but they are as different as two twins can be. One day, their grandpa offers them a plan-for ten straight weeks on Saturday he will give them each one dollar for doing their chores. But there is a catch! Each dollar they save, he will match. Rock is excited-there are all sorts of things he can buy for one dollar. So each week he spends his money on something different-a toy moose head, green hair goo, white peppermint wax fangs. But while Rock is spending his money, Brock is saving his. And each week when Rock gets just one dollar, Brock’s savings get matched. By summer’s end, Brock has five hundred and twelve dollars, while Rock has none. When Rock sees what his brother has saved, he realizes he has made a mistake. But Brock shows him that it is never too late to start saving. ...

July 18, 2008 · 2 min

Analysts say 150 U.S. banks will fail in next 18 months

The New York Times says that some banking analysts (two of which are mentioned by name) predict that “as many as 150 out of the 7,500 banks nationwide could fail over the next 12 to 18 months.” If that were to happen, that would likely exhaust the Deposit Insurance Fund of the FDIC, which will be spending $4 to $8 billion to cover the insured deposits of failed IndyMac bank. The Deposit Insurance Fund had about $52.4 billion at the end of 2007. The worst case scenarios I’ve seen frequently discussed are hyperinflation and a Greater Depression. The way to survive the former would be to keep funds in more-stable foreign currencies and gold; for the latter it would be better to stay in cash and bonds (so long as none of the bonds default). A diversified set of investments is still your best bet, in my opinion. UPDATE (September 12, 2008): The Economist (August 30, 2008) reports that the FDIC has 117 banks on its watch list, compared to 90 at the end of March, and reports that the drawdown on the Deposit Insurance Fund for IndyMac is sufficient to trigger a required funds “restoration” plan within the next 90 days. ...

July 16, 2008 · 6 min

Worthless stock market advice

On May 8, 2008, “An end to the economy’s nose dive?", MSN MoneyCentral, Jon Markman suggests that the recession may be over or not a big deal for major company stocks: “If Hyman is right, and StockScouter continues to highlight the right sectors and stocks to play, there is no reason for investors to fear the pressures facing big companies right now. It really may be time to go off high alert."But just two months ago, Markman was saying that you should sell every stock you own and get out of the market, on March 13, 2008, in “Sell stocks while the selling’s good”: “Yet veteran observers are swiftly coming to the conclusion that attempts to regain world financial stability could be doomed due to a stunning crash of commercial-debt financing and lack of trusted leadership, and they now believe private investors should take advantage of any rallies to purge their portfolios of most stocks and nongovernment bonds."My advice: Don’t take stock market advice from Jon Markman. The fact that he’s a “technical analyst”–making predictions based on short-term patterns of stock movement using methodology that has no better support than astrology, tea-leaf reading, or palmistry–is further reason to avoid reading him for any reason other than humor value.

June 3, 2008 · 1 min

Kiyosaki team splits up

The Arizona Republic reports that Sharon Lechter, co-author of Rich Dad, Poor Dad, and participant in the Rich Dad Co. joint venture with Robert Kiyosaki, is calling it quits and has filed a lawsuit in which she alleges “that her ex-business partner and his wife are enriching themselves, diverting assets and wasting money in a business that she claims to have helped build from scratch." Lechter, a CPA in Paradise Valley, claims that she “refined and created” the original book, while Kiyosaki is merely the public face of the book. If so, that makes the book even more bogus than it already appears to be–it’s already apparent that the “rich dad” of the title is a fictional character and that the book is filled with bad advice. Lechter needs to be careful how much credit she claims if she wants to have any credibility for financial acumen–but I suspect she will care more about the cash. The Kiyosakis respond that Lechter was the editor rather than the author of the book and that she is exaggerating her contributions. The Republic article includes some of the allegations from the Lechter suit, as well as some quotes from Kiyosaki critic John T. Reed. The most interesting point I saw was that the Kiyosakis have earned about $9 million from their Rich Dad entities, which is a lot less than I would have expected, at least if seminar income is included in that amount. ...

June 2, 2008 · 2 min

Phony financial planner defrauds churchgoers

James J. Buchanan of the Christ Life Church in Tempe, Arizona, is accused of defrauding 30-40 people out of over $5 million over the last ten years. He claimed to be a financial planner, and took many people’s life’s savings, as well as money from the church. The Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office says it’s hard to tell where the money went, but it appears that he used some of it to pay off early investors in classic Ponzi scheme style, and spent the rest on himself. His scheme collapsed this March, after he refused to provide documentation to show where one investor’s money was, and that investor refused a payoff to stay quiet and went to the police. (A previous discussion of religious affinity fraud on the increase, at the Secular Outpost.) UPDATE (11 February 2012): Also see “Affinity fraud: Fleecing the flock” from The Economist, January 28, 2012.

May 27, 2008 · 1 min

GAO study: nearly half of government credit card expenses improper

From CNN: Federal employees charged millions of dollars to government credit or debit cards, according to a Government Accountability Office study released Wednesday. Those charges include Internet dating services, iPods, expensive clothing, a $13,500 dinner and lingerie to be worn during jungle training in Ecuador, the study said. The audit also found that government agencies could not account for nearly $2 million worth of items, which included computer servers, laptop computers, iPods and digital cameras. ...

April 9, 2008 · 1 min

John Hancock 401Ks suck

Last December, when Kat got her last paycheck of the year, I noticed that her employer’s payroll department had allowed a deferral $100 in excess of the IRS limits to her 401K. I’ve previously run into a similar problem when my employer’s 401K plan failed nondiscrimination tests, and I was given a refund of part of my deferrals for a prior year. Kat immediately contacted her employer and 401K plan advisor, and we were told that the excess deferral would be paid out before April 15. In the meantime, I couldn’t complete our tax return because we needed to know how much would be paid out (the amount would be different from $100, based on how much the funds it was invested in had lost or gained) and some other information in order to complete the appropriate additional paperwork. In January, Kat invited me to attend a presentation at her company about their new 401K plan that they would be switching to in late February, through John Hancock. The investment options looked reasonable–a wide variety of funds, including international and emerging market funds, and some index funds, mostly from third parties including Dimensional Fund Advisors. Her employer still wasn’t offering any matching funds, but was supposedly covering all plan expenses. A big plus was the availability of a Roth 401K option, which we selected to put all new contributions into. I was still expecting that the excess deferral would be paid out before or at the transition, but of course it didn’t happen. The old plan advisor said the new one would now have to deal with it, but that the old plan would issue the 1099-R form. But not until 2009, so I’d need to collect information myself to fill out a substitute Form 4852, because this would still count as 2007 income. In early March, we got online access to the new 401K, and we were in for a surprise. I’m used to accounting for all of our investments using Quicken, which allows downloading of stock quotes via the Internet. But strangely, none of the prices reported online via John Hancock bore anything but a slight resemblance to the stock prices of the underlying funds we had selected to invest in. Rather, John Hancock’s website reported all of the funds as “subaccounts” with “units” instead of shares, and “unit values” instead of share prices. There seems to be no way to get the unit values on a daily basis, only when a transaction occurs, and then I get to enter them manually. It may be possible to import into Quicken by downloading the transaction history as a CSV document and writing a script to change its format, which I’m sure I’ll pursue in due time. If units were equal to shares, we were paying $2-$5 a share more than the market share price for every purchase. Fortunately, that doesn’t appear to be quite how it works, though I’m still unsure of the details since the plan advisor had made no mention of this. The John Hancock materials and plan administrators do not seem willing to explain in any detail, beyond noting that there are additional fees hidden in these costs, and that there is a benefit in getting access to A-shares of these funds at a discount. So much for the employer covering all of the plan costs. But we still needed to get the incorrect excess deferral refunded so that we could file our tax return. Finally, the John Hancock site showed that a check for $97.39 had been issued on March 20–but with no accounting for any subtractions of units from any of the subaccounts. The check arrived in our hands only yesterday–April 5–apparently delivered by pony express. The documentation with the check showed that there had been a further $30 transaction fee deducted from the account, eating away another third of that incorrect deferral “investment.” It also, helpfully, reported a number of units for both the check and the fee, something the online transaction history left unstated. It didn’t, however, show how many units were taken from each subaccount. I compared the number of units that we had purchased through all the transactions in the history, compared the difference to what John Hancock is currently reporting, and found that the difference was close to, but not identical to the sum of the units that had supposedly been taken out. This was made slightly more difficult by the fact that while the site reports on the dollar total of the Roth 401K, it only reports the units per subaccount as a combined total of the Roth and traditional 401Ks. In attempting to check again in more detail today, I found that John Hancock’s site doesn’t permit users to look at transaction histories on Sundays (or before 9 a.m. ET or after 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, or between 3 a.m. and 7 a.m. ET on weekdays). I could still look at total holdings, however–I’m not sure what kind of rule is being followed here with this restriction, religious or otherwise. Doing a little searching online, I see multiple complaints about extortionately high expense ratios on John Hancock 401Ks. Apparently John Hancock is the choice of plan provider for small employers who want to minimize their costs and shift them to their employees in a relatively untransparent manner. For comparison, most index funds have relatively low expense ratios. I have some money invested in USAA’s S&P 500 Members Shares Index Fund, which has an expense ratio of 0.19%. (Once I reach $100,000 in that fund, I can move it to USAA’s S&P 500 Member Rewards Index Fund, which has an even lower expense ratio of 0.09%.) My 401K, through Fidelity, is mostly in Fidelity’s Spartan U.S. Equities Index, another S&P 500 index, with an expense ratio of 0.09%. John Hancock’s 500 Index Fund, by contrast, has an expense ratio of 0.54%, plus an apparently undisclosed “sales and service fee,” which apparently goes to third party plan advisors and managers. That is ridiculously high for an index fund. John Hancock’s other funds are worse. (We at least intentionally selected funds that had the lowest available expense ratios of the types we wanted, which included DFA’s international, emerging markets, and small cap funds.) I advise that you check out the 401K plan offerings of a prospective employer and weigh them as part of your decision in taking a job there. If they use John Hancock, that should be a mark against them. And once you leave a company that has a 401K through John Hancock, I recommend immediately rolling it over into an IRA with better investment options. If any readers can shed additional light on how John Hancock’s “subaccounts” and “units” work, along with any advice on how to get more transparency and accountability out of them, I’d appreciate it. Other reports of experiences with John Hancock are also welcome. UPDATE (April 10, 2008): I can get per-day unit values from the John Hancock site, but only for the previous day’s price, and there’s no way to download them in an importable format except with the quarterly statements, so if I want them in Quicken I need to look them up and input them manually, or just do it once per quarter. UPDATE (June 2, 2008): As moneyman2424’s comment below indicates, John Hancock, an insurance company, sells 401K investment options that are actually annuities, which have their own expenses on top of the underlying equities. There’s a good discussion of this subject at the FundAlarm discussion board. UPDATE (July 19, 2008): The John Hancock 401K suckage continues. Their website is down all weekend for maintenance, and the second quarter of 2008 is the second quarter in a row in which there have been extortionate unexplained fees, this time wiping out all gains and then some for the quarter. There are two line items for fees, one simply labeled “fees,” and the other labeled “RIA investment advisory fee.” An RIA is a “registered investment advisor,” but we’ve received no investment advice from anyone in the second quarter, or at all, for that matter. There was a presentation from someone explaining the 401K when we signed up, but he offered no investment advice worth paying for, simply explaining the funds and offering some suggested allocations which we didn’t follow. He also failed to mention any fees (rather, he said that the employer would be covering all of the fees, which was obviously not true), failed to point out expense ratios, and failed to mention that we’re investing in “units” in annuity “subaccounts” rather than actual shares in actual mutual funds. In short, if anything he should be paying out compensation for his omissions rather than receiving a cut. UPDATE (July 26, 2008): Another complaint–John Hancock reports unit prices to three decimal points. With every reported purchase, there are several funds where the purchase price per unit is a tenth of a cent above the reported unit price for the day. It’s just another way for them to collect a little bit more money in a non-transparent manner. UPDATE (July 28, 2008): CNN/Money ran a story on July 23 about living with bad 401Ks. ...

April 6, 2008 · 16 min

Phoenix Flippers in Trouble

I’d seen similar blogs for California cities, now I’m glad to see there’s one for Phoenix. The site lists homes currently for sale at a loss, ordered from greatest total loss to least. Most of these homes have been flipped multiple times before the current flipper got stuck with it. Despite what a realtor might tell you, when you see homeowners repeatedly reducing prices like this, it is not a good time to buy. It’s a good time to wait and watch prices continue to drop. When you start seeing prices go back up for a while, then it might be a good time to buy–it’s much better to buy after things have bottomed out and started to increase again than it is to buy on the way down. That’s sometimes referred to as “catching a falling knife." I wouldn’t consider buying anything until 2010 at the earliest. We haven’t yet even seen the peak of subprime ARM resets, which should hit in the next few months. Then we still have Alt-A ARM resets to peak after that. ...

February 28, 2008 · 4 min

Mikey Weinstein vs. Chuck Norris

Mikey Weinstein of the Military Religious Freedom Foundation responds to criticisms from Chuck Norris. Scary number quoted: Campus Crusade for Christ’s 2006 annual revenue, $497,516,000. (Via Dispatches from the Culture Wars.)

November 3, 2007 · 1 min

Altria's departure from NYC means loss of arts funding

Altria Group’s moving its headquarters from New York City means that it will cease supporting the arts in New York, to the tune of $7 million a year. Altria funded over 200 groups in the city and was “the most reliable source of corporate funds for the city’s dance companies, art museums, and theaters for over 40 years, consistently ranking as the top giver each year,” according to Trent Stamp of Charity Navigator, in a blog post titled “Arts Groups Addicted to Smoking."

October 17, 2007 · 1 min
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